Estimated Sales
25.8M - 59.2M
Most likely: 42.5M copies
copies
Estimated Revenue (after Steam cut)
$153.5M - $351.9M
Most likely: $252.7M
gross revenue to developer
Estimation Confidence
85%
Direct owner data from profile scraping increases accuracy
Large sample size improves estimation accuracy
Estimation Methods
SteamSpy OwnersConfidence: 75%
Based on Steam profile analysis by SteamSpy
20.0M - 50.0Mcopies
Source: SteamSpy API
Calibrated BoxleiterConfidence: 55%
Review count × calibrated multiplier with genre/price/age adjustments
40.0M - 80.0Mcopies
Source: Steam Reviews + Calibration Data
Review VelocityConfidence: 40%
Based on review accumulation rate over time
36.4M - 91.0Mcopies
Source: Steam Review Timeline
CCU AnalysisConfidence: 30%
Based on peak concurrent users
245.8K - 1.6Mcopies
Source: SteamSpy CCU
Additional Data Points
SteamSpy Owners
20.0M - 50.0M
Peak CCU (Yesterday)
24.6K
Excellent review score. Games with this rating typically have strong word-of-mouth sales.
Verified Sales Data Available
Confirmed Sales: 58.0M copies
Source: Re-Logic announcement
Reported: 2024-01
Our Estimation Accuracy: 77%
Review Data
1.5M
Total Reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rating
1.5M
Positive
39.5K
Negative
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How We Calculate
We use the Boxleiter method, which estimates sales by multiplying review count by a factor that varies based on price:
- Free games: ~100x reviews
- Under $5: ~60x reviews
- $5-$10: ~45x reviews
- $10-$20: ~35x reviews
- $20-$30: ~25x reviews
- Over $30: ~20x reviews
Revenue is calculated after Steam's ~30% cut. Actual results may vary based on regional pricing, sales, and bundles.
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