Estimated Sales
28.3M - 61.6M
Most likely: 45.0M copies
copies
Estimated Revenue (after Steam cut)
$252.7M - $549.6M
Most likely: $401.2M
gross revenue to developer
Estimation Confidence
57%
Relying on derived estimates only
Large sample size improves estimation accuracy
Estimation Methods
Calibrated BoxleiterConfidence: 55%
Review count × calibrated multiplier with genre/price/age adjustments
31.8M - 63.6Mcopies
Source: Steam Reviews + Calibration Data
Review VelocityConfidence: 40%
Based on review accumulation rate over time
23.6M - 58.9Mcopies
Source: Steam Review Timeline
Excellent review score. Games with this rating typically have strong word-of-mouth sales.
Verified Sales Data Available
Confirmed Sales: 30.0M copies
Source: Developer announcement
Reported: 2024-03
Our Estimation Accuracy: 78%
Review Data
981.9K
Total Reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rating
966.9K
Positive
15.0K
Negative
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How We Calculate
We use the Boxleiter method, which estimates sales by multiplying review count by a factor that varies based on price:
- Free games: ~100x reviews
- Under $5: ~60x reviews
- $5-$10: ~45x reviews
- $10-$20: ~35x reviews
- $20-$30: ~25x reviews
- Over $30: ~20x reviews
Revenue is calculated after Steam's ~30% cut. Actual results may vary based on regional pricing, sales, and bundles.
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